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- Notes on Rosner Ch 1 and 2
- Bayes and ROC lecture
- Law of large numbers lecture
- What if there were no LLN lecture
- Likelihood_Examples.R
- Likelihood Inference lecture
- Blume (2002) on Likelihood Inference
- Bayesian inference example
- Nonparametric tests
- chisquare_test_for_categorical_data_part1
- Study_Design_Impact_on_RD_RR_OR
- mantel-haenszel_test_for_common_odds_ratios
- Mcnemars_and_ANOVA

- Quiz_01_WithSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_02_WithSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_03_WithSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_04_WithoutSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_04_WithoutSolutions.doc
- Quiz_04_WithSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_05_WithoutSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_06_WithoutSolutions.pdf
- Quiz_07_WithoutSolutions.pdf

- MidtermExam-2009-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- MidtermExam-2009-WithSolutions.pdf
- MidtermExam-2010-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- 2010 does not have a solution set.
- MidtermExam-2011-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- MidtermExam-2011-WithSolutions.pdf
- MidtermExam-2012-v02-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- MidtermExam-2012-v02-WithSolutions.pdf
- MidtermExam-2013-WithoutSolutions.pdf

- FinalExam-2009-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2009-WithSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2010-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2010-WithSolutions-PartialSolutionsOnly.pdf
- FinalExam-2011-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2011-WithSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2012-Part2-WithoutSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2012-Part1-WithSolutions.pdf
- FinalExam-2012-Part2-WithSolutions.pdf

- Pregnancy rules - a real evidence based debate and wrestling with small probabilities of very serious events.
- How often do gamblers really win?
- A Wondrous GIF Shows the Most Popular Baby Names for Girls Since 1960
- Colors by name in R

Week | Date | Special dates | Especially important topics | Reading to have finished | Assignments due |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

1 | Monday, August 19, 2013 | ||||

Tuesday, August 20, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, August 22, 2013 | First class | Pass The Pigs strategy workshop due at the end of class. | |||

2 | Monday, August 26, 2013 | Arithmetic mean, quantiles/percentiles, mode. Variance, standard deviation, IQR, range. Bar graph, histogram, stem and leaf plot, box plot, dot plot. | Rosner Ch 1-2, Overview and Descriptive Statistics | ||

Tuesday, August 27, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, August 29, 2013 | |||||

3 | Monday, September 02, 2013 | Labor day, no lab | Probability rules, independence, mutually exclusive events, Venn diagrams, set notation. Bayes rule. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, ROC curves. | Rosner Ch 3, Probability | |

Tuesday, September 03, 2013 | Quiz 01 | ||||

Thursday, September 05, 2013 | |||||

4 | Monday, September 09, 2013 | RVs. Parameters and statistics. Standard notation. E[X], V[X], SD[X]. Linear transformations. Sums of RVs. Bernouli, Binomial, Poisson, Normal, t, Chi-sq. | Rosner Ch 4-5, Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions | ||

Tuesday, September 10, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, September 12, 2013 | Quiz 02 | ||||

5 | Monday, September 16, 2013 | Representative samples, random selection. Confidence intervals for binomial data, poisson data, mean and sd for normal data &/or large samples. Exact and approximate confidence intervals. Multiple methods exist for the same parameter and type of data, e.g. binomial. | Rosner Ch 6, Estimation | ||

Tuesday, September 17, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, September 19, 2013 | Quiz 03 | ||||

6 | Monday, September 23, 2013 | Hypothesis testing for a mean from Normal data. One-sided vs two-sided alternatives. The proof by contradiction reasoning. Two types of errors (Type 1 alpha and Type 2 beta). Power and determining sample size. The (sometimes imperfect) association between hypothesis tests and CIs. Tests for variance from Normal data, theta for Binomial data, and lambda for Poisson data. | Rosner Ch 7, One-sample Inference and Hypothesis Testing | ||

Tuesday, September 24, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, September 26, 2013 | Practice midterm | ||||

7 | Monday, September 30, 2013 | Midterm Week | Practice midterm due | ||

Tuesday, October 01, 2013 | Midterm Part 1 taken in class. | ||||

Thursday, October 03, 2013 | Midterm Part 2 due by 10am. Class reserved for Part 3, which is due by midnight on Friday. | ||||

8 | Monday, October 07, 2013 | Revisting the fundamental ideas of estimation, the structure of hypothesis testing, Type I (alpha) and Type II (beta) errors, the decision framework of hypothesis testing | Rosner Ch 7, One-sample Inference and Hypothesis Testing | ||

Tuesday, October 08, 2013 | Law of large numbers lecture, What if there were no LLN lecture | ||||

Thursday, October 10, 2013 | Fall break, no class | ||||

9 | Monday, October 14, 2013 | Maximum likelihood estimation | Rosner Ch 6 MLE section | ||

Tuesday, October 15, 2013 | In 419 abc instead of bcd | Likelihood Inference | Likelihood Inference lecture | ||

Thursday, October 17, 2013 | Blume 2002 article | Quiz 04 | |||

10 | Monday, October 21, 2013 | Bayesian Inference | Bayesian inference sections in Rosner | ||

Tuesday, October 22, 2013 | Bayesian inference lecture | Bayesian inference lecture notes | |||

Thursday, October 24, 2013 | Project brainstorming | ||||

11 | Monday, October 28, 2013 | Rosner Ch 8, Two-sample Inference and Hypothesis Testing | |||

Tuesday, October 29, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, October 31, 2013 | Project proposal due by midnight (submit earlier for feedback) | ||||

12 | Monday, November 04, 2013 | Rosner Ch 9, Nonparametric Methods | |||

Tuesday, November 05, 2013 | Quiz 05 | ||||

Thursday, November 07, 2013 | |||||

13 | Monday, November 11, 2013 | Rosner Ch 10, Categorical Data | |||

Tuesday, November 12, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, November 14, 2013 | Quiz 06 | ||||

14 | Monday, November 18, 2013 | Rosner Ch 13.1-13.6, Advanced categorical data methods; Ch 12.1-12.5, One-way ANOVA | |||

Tuesday, November 19, 2013 | |||||

Thursday, November 21, 2013 | |||||

15 | Monday, November 25, 2013 | Thanksgiving, no class | |||

Tuesday, November 26, 2013 | Thanksgiving, no class | ||||

Thursday, November 28, 2013 | Thanksgiving, no class | ||||

16 | Monday, December 02, 2013 | Final week | Quiz 07 | ||

Tuesday, December 03, 2013 | Final Part 1 taken in class. | ||||

Thursday, December 05, 2013 | Last class | Final Part 1 taken in class. | |||

17 | Monday, December 09, 2013 | Finals week | |||

Tuesday, December 10, 2013 | Finals week | Projects part 2 due by 10am. Final Part 2 due by 10am. Class reserved for Part 3, which is due by midnight today (Tuesday). | |||

Wednesday, December 11, 2013 | Finals week | ||||

Thursday, December 12, 2013 | Finals week | ||||

Friday, December 13, 2013 | Finals week |

Topic revision: r31 - 03 Dec 2013, RobertGreevy

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